WARNING! Category 4 Hurricane Possible for Florida September 1st

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https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2019-08-27-tropical-storm-dorian-hurricane-caribbean-puerto-rico-florida

Tropical Storm Dorian May Pass Near Puerto Rico as a Hurricane and Could Potentially Threaten Florida Labor Day Weekend

Tropical Storm Dorian is now in the eastern Caribbean Sea after lashing the Windward Islands.
Dorian could pass near Puerto Rico as a strong tropical storm or hurricane on Wednesday.
A tropical storm warning and hurricane watch have been issued for Puerto Rico.
The forecast is very uncertain, but Dorian may threaten The Bahamas and Florida late this week or weekend.
Tropical Storm Dorian is slowly leaving the Windward Islands behind, and the storm could go on to impact Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, The Bahamas and possibly Florida over the next several days.

Dorian's center passed near the south coast of Barbados late Monday night, producing a wind gust to 55 mph at Grantley Adams International Airport.

Rain and strong winds are starting to diminish as the center of Dorian begins to pull away from the Windward Islands.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for Puerto Rico and the easternmost Dominican Republic. That means tropical storm conditions (39-73 mph winds) are expected there within the next 36 hours.

Hurricane watches are also in effect for Puerto Rico and eastern portions of the Dominican Republic. Hurricane conditions (74 mph or greater winds) are possible there within the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm watches remain in effect for Saba and St. Eustatius and the remainder of the western and southern Dominican Republic. Tropical storm conditions are possible in those areas within the next 48 hours.

Caribbean, Puerto Rico Forecast
Dorian will soon turn more to the northwest and move near or between Puerto Rico and the eastern Dominican Republic later Wednesday into early Thursday.

The latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) calls for Dorian to be near hurricane strength as it nears Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. However, the intensity forecast is very challenging.

Sea surface temperatures are warm ahead of the system, favoring intensification.

On the other hand, dry air and some modest wind shear over the eastern Caribbean may pump the brakes on any rapid strengthening.

At any rate, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands are likely to be on the wetter north and east flank of Dorian.

Rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches (locally 8 inches) are currently forecast in parts of the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico, with lighter amounts expected in the Virgin Islands. That rainfall could trigger flash flooding and mudslides.

Tropical storm-force winds are also likely in parts Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic, particularly in higher elevations. Some power outages and tree damage could occur.